Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.137938e-03 1.282092e-03 0.001427 0.001584 0.001748 0.001913 0.002094
2025-06-01 8.504432e-04 1.070635e-03 0.001302 0.001561 0.001841 0.002132 0.002455
2025-06-08 6.333643e-04 9.090596e-04 0.001213 0.001567 0.001959 0.002377 0.002850
2025-06-15 4.880295e-04 8.081578e-04 0.001180 0.001625 0.002132 0.002682 0.003314
2025-06-22 3.421196e-04 6.839506e-04 0.001105 0.001629 0.002240 0.002914 0.003699
2025-06-29 2.291012e-04 5.793285e-04 0.001041 0.001636 0.002347 0.003142 0.004079
2025-07-06 1.531677e-04 5.075578e-04 0.001008 0.001675 0.002485 0.003404 0.004497
2025-07-13 8.119223e-05 4.171409e-04 0.000939 0.001661 0.002558 0.003588 0.004823
2025-07-20 3.026772e-05 3.328726e-04 0.000866 0.001635 0.002611 0.003745 0.005116
2025-07-27 1.078710e-05 2.980284e-04 0.000859 0.001692 0.002761 0.004013 0.005535
2025-08-03 4.623411e-07 2.595575e-04 0.000841 0.001729 0.002886 0.004250 0.005917
2025-08-10 NaN 1.775636e-04 0.000737 0.001643 0.002851 0.004295 0.006073
2025-08-17 NaN 1.203055e-04 0.000666 0.001604 0.002883 0.004429 0.006346
2025-08-24 NaN 7.489433e-05 0.000603 0.001572 0.002923 0.004575 0.006636
2025-08-31 NaN 4.590740e-05 0.000562 0.001571 0.003003 0.004769 0.006985
2025-09-07 NaN 3.313639e-05 0.000558 0.001625 0.003156 0.005054 0.007441
2025-09-14 NaN 1.523321e-05 0.000522 0.001625 0.003237 0.005249 0.007792
2025-09-21 NaN 4.319447e-06 0.000491 0.001631 0.003322 0.005449 0.008148
2025-09-28 NaN 5.311867e-07 0.000480 0.001668 0.003450 0.005701 0.008565
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.000441 0.001653 0.003506 0.005862 0.008872
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.000398 0.001627 0.003542 0.005997 0.009147
2025-10-19 NaN NaN 0.000400 0.001682 0.003692 0.006275 0.009594
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.000393 0.001720 0.003816 0.006519 0.009998